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The Great Age of Infrastructure

by John Gerzema on August 19, 2009

Kemah power lines

Stephen J. Alexander

I had an interesting discussion with James Frey, author of ‘A Million Little Pieces’ and ‘Bright Shiny Morning’ the other day.  He was showing me all the books he was reading on his Kindle. I think if Jeff Bezos would have been at this barbeque, he would have signed up James to do his ads.  But the interesting point James raised was that the value isn’t the device, but the pipe. Kindle isn’t really beautiful, or incredibly versatile. But because Amazon has built the means to virtually access books, magazines and other literature anytime, anywhere, our reading behavior is being transformed.

Like iPod’s value is in iTunes, and iPhone in its applications, infrastructure is once again, king. Just as Tom Friedman pointed out that cheap fiber optics after the 2000 recession enabled global commerce, the investments of the early part of this decade by Amazon, Apple, Cisco and others are now bearing fruit as this recession begins to abate. And this is creating value for a whole host of new partners. Consider my conversations last week with Andrew Rashbass, CEO of the Economist, they have found a burgeoning Kindle audience, which supplements their existing print readership.

New infrastructure = new channels = growing audience = greater profitability

Profit is an interesting word to focus on. Because Amazon was routinely criticized for not turning one. Yet we now see that careful, capable long term strategic thinking (e.g. At the expense of short term shareholder value creation)  may inevitably lead to greater shareholder value over the long run. Then if we consider PIMCO CEO Mohamed El-Erian’s description of a “new normal”, where returns will be more modest, perhaps its time we think more about building.

Also include in your analysis of this issue the fact that innovation is revolutionizing in terms of time to market for innovations. The impact of massively scaled innovation cycle is that Schumpeter’s creative destruction will reach rates never before experienced. Therefore you as a business have only one path that you must take and that is to build and build fast, even if that means compromising profitability in the short term. We are shaking things out right now, so take your profits where you can get them, but dare not rest on your laurels because the network age doesn’t abide roadblocks for profit.

To close let’s bring it back to today’s media obsession, Twitter who faces the same question’s Amazon faced ten years ago ‘What’s the business model? I have no idea, but I know they’ve got a valuable asset that others are building businesses on. There is no doubt that Twitter and other businesses need to make money, but making money for the long term is a slog sometimes.  If you’re building the infrastructure for the future of communications do it right.

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Margaret Mead’s Never Been So Right

by John Gerzema on May 27, 2009

“Never doubt that a small group of thoughtful committed people can change the world; indeed, it is the only thing that ever has.”

Margaret Mead’s famous phrase has become a standard bearer for well meaning citizens bent on creating solutions to the problems of the world. However, in the Industrial Age these agents of change were constrained in their ability to gain rapid distribution of their solutions, so real change took years or even generations.

It is that time frame which informs a belief, as described in this NY Times article, that government and institution led macro innovation is the key to overcoming the myriad challenges our world faces. Industrial logic would suggest that trillion dollar problems, must have trillion dollar solutions and trillion dollar solutions come from big investments in big ideas. The first issue with this industrial logic is that we have no idea what the big idea is, only what the big problem is. The second issue is that big problem’s are agglomerations of little problems, however institutions can only focus their marketing and strategy on the BIG problem. That focus undermines the problem solving.

Which leads me to Chris Anderson’s piece on the era of the conglomerate passing and in its wake thousands of small, entrepreneurial companies innovating to solve problems that the large companies cannot. Chris’ insight is that large companies are struggling to understand how a former competitive advantage, economy of scale, had been turned on its head to become a disadvantage. Where scale was once a strength, now it is a shackle linked by quarterly earnings, risk aversion and zero sum management that prevents organizations from solving the small problems, that reveal big solutions.  While there is no doubt that big business is facing challenging conditions to execute their plans, it is by no means impossible to execute successfully within this new paradigm, just look at Google, Apple, Amazon or even P&G, who are executing successfully in the networked economy by transitioning their operating, forecasting and communications units to allow for micro-innovation within their organizations.

Using network logic we understand that a big problem is simply an interconnected series of small problems, with solutions that interconnect to reveal solutions to large problems. The big leap organizations must make is to stop talking and start doing. This transition in thinking from leverage to community is a function of the Great Unwinding of our economy. The Great Unwinding is our economy peeling back the layers of excess and facade, to reveal the foundational truths of our businesses and ourselves. The outcome of this financial and psychic deleveraging is a profitable and fulfilling business and consumer renaissance. This renaissance is driven by a network economy that encourages experimentation, accepts failure and connects the solutions that allow us to think small, to solve big.

Nat Torkington writes that “Scaling is not innovating”, innovation happens on the edge where scale doesn’t matter and uses the multiplier effect of networked innovation to scale at the appropriate time. It’s time for us as executives, marketers and customers to acknowledge this dawning reality and to harness our entrepreneurial spirit to solve problems as a community.

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Marketers Can’t Amplify the Anxiety That Already Exists

May 22, 2009

I got a chance yesterday to read an interesting post in the NY Times about the psychic impact of uncertainty. Which led to a reflection on the marketing message du jour, which is sympathy to the uncertainty, and how that messaging is off the mark. The Great Recession is the cause of plenty of consumer [...]

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What’s So Special about Micro-Payments?

May 15, 2009

As many of my posts suggest I am thinking hard about what the consumer looks like coming out of the Great Recession and what impact that new value set will have on branding. One of the areas that I have been particularly focused on is the deleveraging of the economy, writ large. While we can [...]

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Keeping Good Company - February 13, 2009

February 13, 2009

Partnerships: What do they say about your brand? According to our data in 2004, Apple’s iPod was cool, but still just a gadget. It was in the top 1% of the ‘most inventive brands’ in the U.S., but only among the top 30% ‘most visionary’, and the top 20% ‘most dynamic’. But iPod’s subsequent partnership [...]

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Smart Growth – February 4th, 2009

February 4, 2009

There was plenty of finger pointing last week in Davos. Amid the recriminations of US capitalist policy by Vladimir Putin and Wen Jiabao and the general diplomatic, theoretical and economic unrest, it was clear the global financial crisis shows no end in sight. Across economies, GDP forecasts have turned negative, leaving CEO’s, economists and political [...]

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Mobility, Money and Hope - February 3, 2009

February 3, 2009


According to the Informa Telecoms & Media’s Global Mobile Forecasts global revenues from mobile products and services will rise past $1 trillion dollars by 2013, with over 5 billion subscriptions worldwide. To put this rosy forecast in perspective, it took 20 years to reach the 3 billion subscription milestone. Yet the report also projects that [...]

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The $ 20 Billion Dollar Man

January 4, 2009

News that Steve Jobs is reportedly not attending MacWorld this week, has raised some concern among investors about Apple’s reliance on one individual to sustain its operating performance and company vision. Breaking Views demonstrated how valuable one person can be:
They estimated the worth of each of the core businesses that comprise Apple’s $80 billion in [...]

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